March 9, 2023
Earthquake Research Committee,
Headquarters for Earthquake Research Promotion

Evaluation of Seismic Activities for February 2023

1 Major Seismic Activities

* On February 25, there was a magnitude (M) 6.0 earthquake, offshore Kushiro. Maximum seismic intensity 5 Lower was observed in Hokkaido.

2 Nationwide Seismic Activities by Region

(1) Hokkaido Region

* On February 20, there was an M4.9 earthquake at a depth of approximately 120 km in the central Tokachi region. The focal mechanism had a tension axis in a dipping direction of the Pacific plate. This event occurred within the Pacific plate.

* On February 25, there was an M6.0 earthquake at a depth of approximately 65 km, offshore Kushiro. The focal mechanism had a compression axis in a WNW-ESE direction. This event occurred within the Pacific plate.
According to the result of the GNSS observation, no significant crustal deformation accompanying with the event was observed.

(2) Tohoku Region

There was no remarkable activity.

(3) Kanto-Chubu Region

* In the crust of the Noto region, Ishikawa prefecture, where the number of earthquakes is increasing since about 2018, the seismic activity became high since December 2020, and it has become higher since about July 2021. In February 2023, there were an M4.1 earthquake on 21st and an M4.0 earthquake on 26th: the serial seismic activity still continues in an active state, without any sign of decline at present.
The largest so far is the M5.4 earthquake which occurred on June 19, 2022. Beside this there occurred an M5.1 earthquake on September 16, 2021 and an M5.0 earthquake on June 20, 2022. From December 1, 2020 till March 8, 2023 at 08 o'clock (JST), there occurred 286 earthquakes with seismic intensity 1 or over observed: of these, 42 earthquakes with seismic intensity 3 or over observed. From February 1, 2023 till March 8, 2023 at 08 o'clock (JST), there occurred 9 earthquakes with seismic intensity 1 or over observed: of these 2, earthquakes with seismic intensity 3 or over observed.
According to the result of the GNSS observation, since about December 2020, the following crustal deformation has continued: the cumulative displacement of 1 cm over in the south-southeast direction and the uplift of 4 cm or so at the Suzu observatory, Suzu City, Ishikawa prefecture and the cumulative displacement of 1 cm over in the south-southwest direction at the Noto observatory, Noto Town and so on are observed.
Based on the situation of the seismic activity and the crustal deformation, the series of the seismic activity will continue for the time being and we should pay attention for a strong shaking.

(4) Kinki-Chugoku-Shikoku Region

There was no remarkable activity.

(5) Kyushu-Okinawa Region

There was no remarkable activity.

(6) Around the Nankai Trough

* There has been observed no unusual change which indicates that the possibility of occurrence of great earthquakes along the Nankai Trough has relatively raised compared to the normal time.


Supplement (Seismic Activity Since March 1)

* On March 2, there was an M5.0 earthquake in the ocean near Hachijojima Island. This event occurred within the Philippine Sea plate.


Note: GNSS is a general name of satellite positioning system such as GPS.


Supplementary Information to the Evaluation of Seismic Activities for February 2023

March 9, 2023
Earthquake Research Committee,
Headquarters for Earthquake Research Promotion

1 Major Seismic Activities

The following are the numbers of earthquakes by magnitude (M) that occurred in Japan and the surrounding area during February 2023.

(Reference)

The following events for the period from February 2022 to late January 2023 have been listed as "Major Seismic Activities" in monthly "Evaluation of Seismic Activities."

  – Offshore Fukushima Prefecture    M7.4 on March 16, 2022
(Depth of approximately 55 km)
  – Offshore Iwate Prefecture  M5.6 on March 18, 2022
(Depth of approximately 20 km)
  – Under the Northern Ibaraki Prefecture  M5.4 on April 19, 2022
(Depth of approximately 95 km)
  – Offshore Ibaraki Prefecture M6.0 on May 22, 2022
(Depth of approximately 5 km)
  – In the Noto Region, Ishikawa Prefecture  
M5.4 on June 19, 2022
(Depth of approximately 15 km)
  – In the Kumamoto Region, Kumamoto
  Prefecture
M4.7 on June 26, 2022
(Depth of approximately 10 km)
  – In the Northern Kamikawa Region
on August 11, 2022
M5.4 (Depth of approximately 5 km)
M5.2 (very shallow)
  – Offshore East of the Osumi Peninsula M5.9 on October 2, 2022
(Depth of approximately 30 km)
  – Offshore Fukushima Prefecture  M5.0 on October 21, 2022
(Depth of approximately 30 km)
  – Under the Southern Ibaraki  M4.9 on November 9, 2022 Prefecture
(Depth of approximately 50 km)

   

2 Nationwide Seismic Activities by Region

(1) Hokkaido Region

There is no supplementary information for Hokkaido region.

(2) Tohoku Region

There is no supplementary information for Tohoku region.

(3) Kanto-Chubu Region

There is no supplementary information for Kanto-Chubu region.

(4) Kinki-Chugoku-Shikoku Region

– According to the GNSS observation, the crustal deformation different from the ordinary trend in the central Shikoku has been observed from about spring 2019. This phenomenon is considered to be caused by a long-term slow-slip around the central Shikoku at the deeper part of the boundary between the Philippine Sea and the continental plates.

(5) Kyushu-Okinawa Region

There is no supplementary information for Kyushu-Okinawa region.

(6) Around the Nankai Trough

– "There has been observed no unusual change which indicates that the possibility of occurrence of great earthquakes along the Nankai Trough has relatively raised compared to the normal time.":
(This evaluation is in agreement with the views presented at the regular meeting on March 7 of the Assessment Committee for Earthquakes Along the Nankai Trough (reference below).)

(Reference)

Recent Crustal Activity Around the Nankai Trough (Seismological and Volcanological Department, Japan Meteorological Agency, March 7, 2023)
"In the present, there has been observed no unusual change which indicates that the possibility of occurrence of great earthquakes along the Nankai Trough has relatively raised compared to the normal time. (Excerpted)"

Reference 1
Earthquakes that are described in the "Evaluation of Seismic Activity" (Monthly Report of Seismic Activity in Japan) have the following features.

  1. Events of M6.0 or greater, or events that have maximum seismic intensity 4 or greater
  2. Onshore events of M4.5 or greater that have maximum seismic intensity 3 or greater
  3. Events under the ocean areas of M5.0 or greater that have maximum seismic intensity 3 or greater

Reference 2
Information that is described in the "Supplementary Information to the Evaluation" includes:

  1. Reference information related to the seismic activity described in the "Evaluation of Seismic Activity"
  2. Recent earthquake activity over the past year related to the events described in "Major Seismic Activity" in the "Evaluation of Seismic Activity"
  3. Seismic activity that has been evaluated, but not included in the "Evaluation of Seismic Activity" because it is within normal bounds and not prominent
  4. A sequence of slow-slip events of estimated M6.0 or greater and accompanying low-frequency earthquakes (tremors)