January 15, 2014
Earthquake Research Committee,
Headquarters for Earthquake Research Promotion

Evaluation of Seismic Activities for December 2013

1 Major Seismic Activities

* On December 31, there was a magnitude (M) 5.4 earthquake in the northern Ibaraki prefecture. The maximum seismic intensity 5 Lower generated by this event was observed in Ibaraki prefecture.

2 Nationwide Seismic Activities by Region

(1) Hokkaido Region

* On December 9, there was a M6.4 earthquake offshore southeast of Etorofu Island. The focal mechanism showed a compression axis in an NNW-SSE direction.

* On December 16, there was a M4.6 earthquake at a depth of approximately 80 km under the southern middle-Kushiro region. The focal mechanism showed a compression axis in a WNW-ESE direction. This event occurred within the Pacific plate.

(2) Tohoku Region

* On December 27, there was a M5.0 earthquake at a depth of approximately 40 km, offshore Iwate prefecture. This event occurred near the boundary between the Pacific and the continental plates. The focal mechanism showed a compression axis in a WNW-ESE direction.

(3) Kanto-Chubu Region

* On December 3, there was a M4.5 earthquake at a depth of approximately 10 km, offshore east of Chiba prefecture. The focal mechanism showed a normal fault with a tension axis in a WNW-ESE direction. This event occurred within the crust of the continental plate

* On December 3, there was a M5.5 earthquake offshore Ibaraki prefecture. The focal mechanism had a tension axis in a WNW-ESE direction.

* On December 14, there was a M5.5 earthquake at a depth of approximately 50 km, offshore east of Chiba prefecture. Furthermore, on 21st, there was also a M5.5 earthquake at almost the same place. The focal mechanisms of these two events showed reverse faults with compression axes in an E-W direction. Both events occurred on the boundary between the Pacific and the Philippine Sea plates.

* On December 21, there was a M5.2 earthquake at a depth of approximately 60 km under southern Ibaraki prefecture. The focal mechanism showed a reverse fault with a compression axis in an E-W direction. This event occurred on the boundary between the Pacific and the Philippine Sea plates.

* On December 31, there was a M5.4 earthquake at a depth of approximately 5 km under northern Ibaraki prefecture. The focal mechanism showed a strike-slip fault with a tension axis in an NE-SW direction. This event occurred within the crust.

* In the GNSS data for the Tokai region, there have been no changes of activity which are likely to be associated with the Tokai earthquake.

(4) Kinki-Chugoku-Shikoku Region

There was no remarkable activity.

(5) Kyushu-Okinawa Region

There was no remarkable activity.

(6) Other Region

* On December 18, there was a M6.6 earthquake at the very shallow depth in the Mariana Islands. The focal mechanism showed a normal fault with a tension axis in an NE-SW direction.

Supplement

* From January 2, there has been slightly brisk seismicity. The largest so far is a M5.0 earthquake which occurred on 2nd at a depth of approximately 25 km. The focal mechanism showed a reverse fault with a compression axis in an NW-SE direction. This event occurred on the boundary between the Philippine Sea and the continental plates.
According to the GNSS and tiltmeters, non-stationary crustal deformation has been observed in Boso Peninsula for the same period with the seismic activity from January 2. This deformation seems to be due to a slow slip at the boundary between the Philippine Sea and the continental plates.
In this region, slow slips were observed in May 1996, October 2002, August 2007 and October 2011.

* On January 9, there was a M5.5 earthquake at a depth of approximately 70 km near Iriomotejima [under the ocean near Ishigakijima]. The focal mechanism showed a reverse fault with a compression axis in an E-W direction. This event occurred in the Philippine Sea plate

* On January 9, there was a M4.6 earthquake at a depth of approximately 5 km in northern Ibaraki prefecture. The focal mechanism showed a normal fault with a tension axis in an E-W direction. This event occurred in the crust.

Note: [ ] was the regional name of the epicenter used in the Japan Meteorological Agency announcement.
     GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) is a general name of satellite positioning system such as GPS.



Supplementary Information to the Evaluation of Seismic Activities for December 2013

January 15, 2014
Earthquake Research Committee

1 Major Seismic Activities

The following are the numbers of earthquakes by magnitude that occurred in Japan and the surrounding area during December 2013.

(reference)

The following events for the period from December 2012 to late November 2013 have been listed as "Major Seismic Activities" in monthly "Evaluation of Seismic Activities".

  – Offshore Sanriku  M7.3 on December 7, 2012
  – Northern Ibaraki Prefecture  M4.8 on January 28, 2013
(Depth of approximately 75km)
  – Northern Ibaraki Prefecture  M4.7 on January 31, 2013
(Depth of approximately 10km)
  – Southern Tokachi Region  M6.5 on February 2, 2013
(Depth of approximately 100 km)
  – Northern Tochigi Prefecture  M6.3 on February 25, 2013
(Depth of approximately 5 km)
  – Near Awajishima  M6.3 on April 13, 2013
(Depth of approximately 15 km)
  – Under the Ocean Near Miyakejima  M6.2 on April 17, 2013
(Depth of approximately 10 km)
  – Offshore Miyagi Prefecture  M5.9 on April 17, 2013
(Depth of approximately 60 km)
  – Offshore Fukushima Prefecture  M6.0 on May 18, 2013
(Depth of approximately 45 km)
  – Offshore Miyagi Prefecture  M6.0 on August 4, 2013
(Depth of approximately 60 km)
  – Hamadori, Fukushima Prefecture  M5.9 on September 20, 2013
(Depth of approximately 15 km)
  – Offshore Fukushima Prefecture  M7.1 on October 26, 2013
  – Southern Ibaraki Prefecture  M5.5 on November 10, 2013
(Depth of approximately 65 km)

2 Nationwide Seismic Activities by Region

(1) Hokkaido Region

There is no supplementary information for the Hokkaido region.

(2) Tohoku Region

There is no supplementary information for the Tohoku region.

(3) Seismic activities and crustal deformations associated with the 2011 off the Pacific Coast of Tohoku Earthquake

– During about one year (March 2012 - February, 2013), the number of earthquakes of M4.0 or over in the aftershock area of the 2011 off the Pacific Coast of Tohoku Earthquake became under one fifth smaller than the one during about one year (March 11, 2011 - February, 2012) just after the Earthquake, and after that the aftershock activity has gradually been decaying. However, in comparison with the mean activity before the 2011 off the Pacific Coast of Tohoku Earthquake, the number of earthquakes of M4.0 or over in the aftershock area was more than four times, and the aftershock activity still remains in brisk state.
According to the GNSS data during about one month just after the 2011 off the Pacific Coast of Tohoku Earthquake, at the maximum value, the horizontal movement was 30 cm, and the vertical subsidence and upheaval were 6 cm and 5 cm respectively. The movement was gradually decaying. Although the horizontal movement was up to around 1cm, and the vertical movement was up to around 1cm during the recent one month, crustal movements which are thought to be the postseismic deformation have still been observed in a wide area from the Tohoku through the Kanto-Chubu regions. .
In case of the earthquake (moment magnitude (Mw) 9.1) offshore west of the northern Sumatra Island in December 2004, within the source area and its surroundings, there have been large earthquakes for long period. As to the 2011 off the Pacific Coast of Tohoku Earthquake, within the aftershock area and its surroundings, there is fear that large earthquakes will occur from now on, and there is a possibility that it will be hit by strong shaking and high tsunami. It is necessary to do care continuously for it.

(4) Kanto-Chubu Region

"On December 31, there was a M5.4 earthquake at a depth of approximately 5 km in northern Ibaraki prefecture. (Excerpted)":
After this event, in northern Ibaraki prefecture, there were 20 earthquakes with seismic intensity 1 or over until January 13, 2014, and on January 9, there was a M4.6 earthquake.
Within the crust from Hamadori, Fukushima prefecture through northern Ibaraki prefecture, the seismicity increased after "the 2011 off the Pacific Coast of Tohoku Earthquake". Although it has gradually been declining on the whole with some up and down, it still keeps the higher level than that of prior to the occurrence of the 2011 off the Pacific Coast of Tohoku Earthquake.

"In the GNSS data for the Tokai region, there have been no changes of activity which are likely to be associated with the Tokai earthquake":
(This evaluation is in agreement with the views presented at the regular meeting on December 24 of the Assessment Committee for Areas under Intensified Measures against Earthquake Disaster (reference below).)

(Reference)

This evaluation is in agreement with the views presented at the regular meeting on December 24 of the Assessment Committee for Areas under Intensified Measures against Earthquake Disaster (reference below).
"No changes of activity which are likely to be associated with the Tokai earthquake have been observed until now. (Excerpted)"

(5) Kinki-Chugoku-Shikoku Region

There is no supplementary information for Kinki-Chugoku-Shikoku region.

(6) Kyushu-Okinawa Region

There is no supplementary information for Kyushu-Okinawa region.

Reference 1
Earthquakes that are described in the "Evaluation of Seismic Activity" (Monthly Report of Seismic Activity in Japan) have the following features.

  1. Events of M6.0 and greater, or events that have maximum seismic intensity 4 or greater
  2. Onshore events of M4.5 and greater that have maximum seismic intensity 3 or greater
  3. Events under the ocean areas of M5.0 or greater that have maximum seismic intensity 3 or greater

Reference 2
Information that is described in the "Supplementary Information to the Evaluation" includes:

  1. Reference information related to seismic activity described in the "Evaluation of Seismic Activity"
  2. Recent earthquake activity over the past year related to the events described in "Major Seismic Activity" in the "Evaluation of Seismic Activity"
  3. Seismic activity that has been evaluated, but not included in the "Evaluation of Seismic Activity" because it is within normal bounds and not prominent