14 April 2004
Headquarters for Earthquake Research Promotion
Earthquake Research Committee

Seismic Activity for March 2004


1 Major Seismic Activity

There was no remarkable activity. to supplementary reports

2 Nationwide seismic activity by region


(1) Hokkaido Region

*On March 27, there was a M5.8 earthquake at a depth of approximately 40km off-shore of Kushiro. The focal mechanism showed a reverse fault with a compression axis in a NW-SE direction. It is thought that this event is an aftershock of the 2003 Off-shore Tokachi Earthquake. to supplementary reports

(2) Tohoku Region

There was no remarkable activity. to supplementary reports

(3) Kanto-Chubu Region

*On March 11, there was a M5.3 earthquake at a depth of approximately 50km off-shore of Ibaraki prefecture. The focal mechanism showed a reverse fault with a compression axis in a WNW-ESE direction. This event occurred at the boundary between the Pacific and the continental plates.

*The long-term changes that have been observed since 2001 in the continuous GPS data in the Tokai region, still appear to be continuing. to supplementary reports

(4) Kinki-Chugoku-Shikoku Region

There was no remarkable activity. to supplementary reports

(5) Kyushu-Okinawa Region

There was no remarkable activity. to supplementary reports

Supplement

*On April 12, there was a M5.8 earthquake at a depth of approximately 50km off-shore of Kushiro.

*On April 4, there was a M5.8 earthquake at a depth of approximately 50km off-shore of Ibaraki prefecture.

*On April 6, there was a M4.0 earthquake at a depth of approximately 5km in southern Tokushima prefecture.



Supplementary Information to the Evaluation of Seismic Activity for March 2004 by the Earthquake Research Committee

April 14, 2004
Earthquake Research Committee

1 Major Seismic Activity

Following are the numbers of the earthquakes by magnitude that occurred in Japan and the surrounding area during March 2004.

M4.0 or greater: 73 (65 events occurred in February.)
M5.0 or greater: 7 (8 events occurred in February.)
M6.0 or greater: 0

(reference) Average numbers of earthquake occurrences over the past thirty years (1971 - 2000)

M4.0 or greater: 46 / month
M5.0 or greater: 8 / month
M6.0 or greater: 1.3 / month, 16 / year

The following regions have been noted as having significant seismic activity during the period from March 2003 to the end of February 2004.

-Off-shore of Miyagi prefectureM7.1 on May. 26, 2003 (depth of approximately 70km)
-Northern Miyagi prefectureM6.4 on July 26, 2003 (depth of approximately 10km)
-Off-shore of Tokachi
     (2003 Off-shore Tokachi Earthquake)
M8.0 on Sep. 26, 2003 (depth of approximately 40km)
-Off-shore of Fukushima prefecture M6.8 on Oct. 31, 2003 (depth of approximately 30km)

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2 Nationwide seismic activity by region

(1) Hokkaido Region

"On March 27, there was a M5.8 earthquake at a depth of approximately 40km off-shore of Kushiro. The focal mechanism showed a reverse fault with a compression axis in a NW-SE direction. It is thought that this event is an aftershock of the 2003 Off-shore Tokachi Earthquake":
The aftershock activity of the off-shore Tokachi earthquake on September 26, 2003 (2003 Off-shore Tokachi Earthquake) is continuing to decline. Since the middle of March, however, seismicity slightly increased with three earthquakes that were greater than M5.0. According to the GPS data, postseismic movements that were seen following the main shock have been continuing at a low level.
According to the report of Rapid Investigative Research on the 2003 Off-shore Tokachi Earthquake funded by the Special Coordination Funds for Promoting Science and Technology, there is a possibility that the depth of the main shock should be approximately 15-20km, estimated from the aftershock observations with the ocean bottom seismometers. This depth corresponds to the location at the plate boundary, as estimated by seismic exploration surveys. Also, the GPS data estimated the spatial distribution and temporal changes of the postseismic slip. The postseismic slip was small in the area where the main shock slip was large (asperity), and large postseismic slip was seen in the regions east and west of that area.

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(2) Tohoku Region

There is no supplementary information for the Tohoku region.

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(3) Kanto-Chubu Region

"The long-term changes that have been observed since 2001 in the continuous GPS data in the Tokai region, still appear to be continuing.":
The Pacific side of the Tokai-Chubu region maintains a steady rate with movement to the WNW, consistent with the subduction of the Philippine Sea plate toward the northwest. The results from GPS observations in the area centered on western Shizuoka prefecture, have been showing a trend of moderate change since about April 2001. The trends have continued through March 2004 and show no signs of acceleration.
(This evaluation is in agreement with the views presented at the procedural meeting on March 22 of the Assessment Committee for Areas under Intensified Measures against Earthquake Disaster. (see reference below))

(reference) "Recent seismic and crustal activity in the Tokai region and its vicinity" (Japan Meteorological Agency, Department of Seismology and Volcanology, March 22, 2004)

"So far, there have been no changes of activity which are likely to be associated with the so-called Tokai earthquake.
There is no remarkable seismic activity in general. The seismicity continues at a level lower than normal directly under Hamana lake. Shallow seismicity is at a slightly higher level around Mikawa Bay. In the other regions, seismic activity is generally at a normal level.
The long-term changes in crustal movements in the Tokai region and its vicinity caused by the slow slip on the plate boundary, have been continuing."

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(4) Kinki-Chugoku-Shikoku Region

There is no supplementary information for the Kinki-Chugoku-Shikoku region.

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(5) Kyushu-Okinawa Region

There is no supplementary information for the Kyushu-Okinawa region.

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Reference 1
Earthquakes that are described in the "Evaluation of Seismic Activity"(Monthly Report of Seismic Activity in Japan) are events of M6.0 and greater, or events of M4.0 and greater (M5.0 or greater off-shore) that have maximum intensity of 3 or greater.

Reference 2
Information that is described in the "Supplementary Information to the Evaluation" includes:
1)Reference information related to seismic activity described in the "Evaluation of Seismic Activity"
2)Recent earthquake activity over the past year related to the events described in "Major Seismic Activity" in the "Evaluation of Seismic Activity"
3)Seismic activity that has been evaluated, but not included in the "Evaluation of Seismic Activity" because it is within normal bounds and not prominent.